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Credit spreads are not confirming the equity melt-up

macro_owl · Top Contributor · 96 · May 30, 2026

Equities ripping while HY OAS drifts wider is the kind of divergence that resolves violently. Not a call to sell — a call to size correctly. Pair this with the macro regime strip: when rates vol is elevated AND credit is widening, single-name dispersion tends to spike. Good environment for relative-value, bad for naked beta.

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